Stock Markets Analysis & Opinion

Dow Jones Leads as Investors Prepare for Thanksgiving

The market had a relatively quiet day as investors look to the Thanksgiving holiday.

SP500 – QQQ Chart

Stocks did end lower on Monday, with the QQQs declining 1.1%. DIA lost 0.06% yesterday.

As seen in the chart above, starting from October 11, 2022, the Dow Jones (represented by DIA) outperformed the other key US Indices.

In comparison to the tech heavy QQQs, which are down -29.71% year to date, DIA is only down -7.8%.

Although trading volumes are often lower during a holiday-shortened week, traders should remain vigilant.

Our risk gauges continue to flash caution. Consumer Staples led on Monday with a gain of 1.1%, while XLU have gained almost 3% over the last five trading days despite a decline in risk-on sectors.

Traders should monitor volatility closely and the performance of each US index because they offer a glimpse of where things could be heading by year’s end.

DIA Daily Chart

DIA is down modestly from recent highs while decisively outperforming small caps and technology. DIA is close to taking out the previous highs of mid-August.

DIA shows leadership in the Triple Play Indicator and strong momentum in the Real Motion Indicator, as shown by the green arrows above.

The Trend Strength Indicator (TSI) score for DIA is positive at 3.38, which is exceptionally high, suggesting that the current trend is robust and has more longevity.

DIA’s TSI is positive and the strongest of the four equity US benchmarks.

DIA also crossed the 200-week moving average in early November and is now trading sideways, consolidating recent moves.

In an inflationary climate, investing in firms with strong cash flow, pricing power, and dividends becomes more appealing and many of these companies are in the Dow Jones.

Using our proprietary trading indicators, such as Real Motion and Leadership you will be able to trade effectively, recognize trend strength and pinpoint trend leadership for effective trading in any market condition.

ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY) 392 support and 397 resistance

Russell 2000 (IWM) 179 support and 185 resistance

Dow (DIA) 334 support and 340 resistance

Nasdaq (QQQ) 278 support and 286 resistance

KRE (Regional Banks) 60 support and 66 resistance

SMH (Semiconductors) 210 support and 219 resistance

IYT (Transportation) 222 support and 228 resistance

IBB (Biotechnology) 130 support and 136 resistance

XRT (Retail) 62 support and 67 resistance

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