CFRA ‘positive’ on Vodafone’s deal with Swisscom, upgrades stock to hold
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On Monday, Vodafone Group Plc (NASDAQ:LON:VOD) received an upgrade in its stock rating from CFRA, moving from ‘Sell’ to ‘Hold’. Alongside the rating change, the firm also adjusted its price target for the company’s shares to $9.50, up from the previous target of $7.50.
The new price target is based on a forecasted enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) ratio of 6.1 times for the fiscal year ending March 2025, aligning with the valuations of Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD)’s large telecommunications peers.
The upgrade reflects a balance between Vodafone’s improving EBITDA margin trend and the ongoing macroeconomic headwinds. CFRA’s analysis suggests that the current valuation is fair. Vodafone’s strategic moves include the recent announcement of the sale of its Italian operations to Swisscom for €8 billion in cash. The transaction is part of Vodafone’s broader efforts to restructure its European operations, which have been facing challenges.
As part of the deal with Swisscom, Vodafone has committed to returning up to €4 billion to its shareholders through buybacks. This decision is part of the company’s capital allocation strategy following the sale. In addition to the buyback program, Vodafone plans to reduce its dividend starting in fiscal year 2025 to €0.045 per share, which is half of its current dividend per share (DPS). This adjustment would result in a dividend yield of approximately 6.4% based on the current share price.
The sale of the Italian unit is seen as a positive step for Vodafone, potentially simplifying its operational landscape. However, CFRA maintains a neutral stance on the stock, noting that after the restructuring, Vodafone will emerge as a leaner telecommunications company with a dividend yield that is considered below average for the industry.
InvestingPro Insights
Following the recent upgrade by CFRA, Vodafone Group Plc’s (NASDAQ:VOD) financials and market performance offer additional insights. With a market capitalization of $23.55 billion, the telecommunications giant is trading at a low price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 2.06, showcasing potential undervaluation when compared to the industry average. The adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stands at 6.53, which may still appeal to value investors.
One key InvestingPro Tip is Vodafone’s significant dividend yield, which is currently at 10.69%. This is a substantial return for shareholders and is particularly noteworthy as the company has maintained dividend payments for 35 consecutive years. This commitment to shareholder returns is reflected in the company’s strategic decision to return up to €4 billion to its shareholders following the sale of its Italian operations.
Another InvestingPro Tip highlights Vodafone as a prominent player in the Wireless Telecommunication Services industry. Despite a forecasted net income drop this year, Vodafone remains profitable with a reported operating income margin of 7.85% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. Analysts predict the company will retain its profitability this year, which is corroborated by a positive return on assets of 7.19%.
To gain access to a more comprehensive analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips for Vodafone, investors can explore the full suite of insights available on InvestingPro. There are currently an additional 6 tips listed, offering a deeper dive into the company’s financial health and market standing. For those interested in taking advantage of this resource, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.
