Economic Indicators

UK public’s inflation expectations fall in February -Citi/Yougov


People shop at a grocery market, in London, Britain May 6, 2023. REUTERS/Emilie Madi/ File Photo

LONDON (Reuters) – The British public’s expectations for inflation over the next year and also the longer term fell in February, U.S. bank Citi said after publishing a monthly survey conducted by market research company YouGov.

Citi said public expectations for inflation in 12 months’ time fell to 3.6% in February from 3.9% in January, while expectations for the five to 10 year period fell to 3.5% from 3.6%.

“For now, the longer-term data in particular point to some lingering risks. However, with inflation now set to fall to 2% in the second quarter, we think the imminent danger is fading,” Citi said in a research note.

Commenting on the potential implications for Bank of England policymakers, Citi said:

“We think these data highlight potential concerns should large further cost shocks emerge. But we continue to see scope for less inflationary aversion and a more balanced view of the economic risks as we move into the middle of the year.

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