Commodities Analysis & Opinion

WTI Crude Oil Breakout Buy Signal: Levels to Watch

 

XAU/USD
+0.24%

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XAG/USD
+1.28%

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Gold
+0.19%

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Silver
+1.11%

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CL
-0.58%

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Gold XAU/USD

  1. XAU/USD trades in a sideways consolidation to ease severely overbought conditions. I had warned that this was possible and it is perfectly normal after a swift move higher.
  2. Yesterday we recovered Wednesday’s losses and we are still holding within Tuesday’s range.
  3. Gold is likely to trade sideways for a little longer. We have minor resistance at the 2-day high at 2180/84. A weekly close above the all-time high of 2195 should be a buy signal for the start of next week.
  4. We are waiting for prices to fall as far as a buying opportunity at 2147/42. If we reach this level today, longs need stops below 2137.
  5. A break below 2136 however risks a slide to 2225, perhaps as far as 2020.

Gold-Daily Chart

Silver XAG/USD should find support at 2445/2435 on any correction to the downside and longs need stops below 2420

Targets: 2480 and 2510.

WTI Crude April Future

  • WTI Crude finally made a breakout above 7970/8000 and also the more important March highs at 8045/8085.
  • It looks like we are sustaining a break above 8100 for a buy signal targeting 8130/50 (hit yesterday) then 8200/8230. In fact even 8400/8450 is a realistic target if you want to try running a small position as far as this target in the days ahead.

A weekly close below 8000 would make me question whether this breakout can be sustained next week.WTI-Daily Chart

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